The current model of tumorigenesis, based on analyses of precursor lesions, termed pancreatic intraepithelial neoplasm (PanINs) lesions, makes two predictions: first, that pancreatic cancer develops through a particular sequence of genetic alterations (KRAS, followed by CDKN2A, then TP53 and SMAD4); and second, that the evolutionary trajectory of pancreatic cancer progression is gradual because each alteration is acquired independently.
The increased neoplastic risk may result from SMAD-4 mutations in the stromal component, which stimulate epithelial dysplasia and progression to invasive malignancy.
The strong and almost universal expression of Dpc4 in IPMNs contrasts sharply with the loss of Dpc4 expression seen in approximately 30% of in situ adenocarcinomas of the pancreas (so-called pancreatic intraepithelial neoplasms, grade 3; P: < 0.001) and in 55% of pancreatic duct carcinomas (P: < 0.0001).